Monday, October 29, 2012

Mystery solved

New Bern, NC

Wow! I'm amazed at the encyclopedia like knowledge of my readers. See below.

[regarding the mystery object in the photo from my previous post]

It is the 1 and 1/2" outlet that comes with a Y valve for a holding tank. It is the same brand that I have on my boat. I don't remember the brand but they come with a 2" and a 1 1/2". Hope This Helps
Bruce S/V Mosquito Coast
Bruce is exactly right. I did indeed buy a new Y-valve this year.

 

By the way, most of the rain and wind for Hurricane Sandy have subsided. The surge of about 4 feet also subsided. Our thoughts now are for those poor people to the north of us.


On the news this morning, the HMS Bounty, a three masted sailing ship sunk off Hatteras. Recue operations are under way. The question I and other boaters have is what the heck was it doing out there? We al had plenty of warning.

 

Sunday, October 28, 2012

Mystery Parts

New Bern, NC

Don't you hate it when you put something back together and find that you have parts left over that you can't identify?

Don't you really really hate it when you find a screw or a nut underneath the engine or up on the deck of the boat that you can't identify?

Here's a third variation.  I was searching for stuff in our spare parts bin when I found the object in the picture below.  It is a very fancy piece of plastic.  It has a complex shape.  It has a rubber o-ring near the end.  Clearly it was designed for some highly specific task.  It appears to be very new, not covered with dust or grease like most things in my spare parts bin.  The trouble is that I have no memory of ever seeing it before, nor any idea of what it is for, nor how it got on board the boat or in the spare parts bin.



Libby wouldn't put it there as a joke, but perhaps I should start believing in gremlins.

Saturday, October 27, 2012

Future Shock?

New Bern, NC

A luxury of staying at this marina is the free Starbucks Coffee and free WSJ to read in the hotel lobby every morning. It is quite decadent. But on Wednesday, I was sitting there sipping my second cup of coffee when I realized that it didn't taste very good. "What's up," I thought, "Starbucks coffee is supposed to be the best." Indeed, I remember drinking a cup in the Fort Meyers, Fl Starbucks 3-4 years ago that was superbly good. Why wasn't this coffee equally good?

Then i realized that I was applying the wrong standard. Not just a standard of quality, but nearly absolute uniformity. We bought an iPad this year. It is one of millions Apple sold. It is identical to all other such iPads. It was perfect right out of the box. In fact, the idea of getting a lemon iPad is preposterous in this modern world. I was trying to apply that standard to coffee brewing too. Whoops inappropriate.

Years ago, we lived in the analog world (contrasted with today's digital world). Nothing was uniform in the analog world. Even if you bought top quality, a Cadillac car for example, it may have been a Monday Cadillac, or a Friday Cadillac. We didn't expect it to be perfect as delivered. Instead, we expected the dealer to tweak it as necessary to deliver the quality we paid for. No mater what the product, in the analog world there was no such thing as absolute uniformity. In today's digital world, we still have varying quality but we receive, and have come to expect nearly absolute uniformity, in goods if not services.

Not only that, but things that are imperfect are not tweaked, they are discarded. If your pone doesn't work, get a new one. If your TV stops working, don't look for a TV repairman (hardly any exist any more). If your watch battery dies, it would cost less money and much less hassle to buy a new one than try to get a new battery installed in your old watch.

I also got caught by modern attitudes in retailing this morning. I had a flat tire on my bike. This bike is 2-3 years old. I bought it at Walmart for $79. It is very rusty, having been soaked by salt spray when we are out at sea. The fender struts rusted away and I improvised new ones from coat hangers. Libby asked about the other tire, but I said "it could last a while longer.": The mistake I made was to go to the bike specialty shop only 300 yards away for a new tire. I paid $30 for a new tire, plus $5 for a new tube at the bike store (old school) Walmart (new school) would have sold it for half that price. Then it hit me. for the price of two such tires I could have bought a whole new bicycle at Walmart. It was economic nonsense for me to invest so much money repairing my bicycle.

Holy mackerel, things are changing more rapidly that I had realized. Will my grandchildren live to see the day when cars and houses become not economically repairable? That sounds preposterous to me, but until today I would have said that it was preposterous for bicycles too.

 

Friday, October 26, 2012

Eliminate Argentina

New Bern, NC

South America seems to be about the only place they eliminate from the possibilities of Hurricane Sandy's path.   One model predicts a hit on New Bern, one on Savannah River then Minneapolis, one on Rome, NY, one on Vermont, one that makes a complete loop around the midwest, and one that misses North America altogether.



All these weather models are like the problem of the man with two watches.  With one watch he knew what time it is, but with two watches he never knew the time.  With N weather models, it is the same problem on steroids.   The forecasters can always claim that at least one of their forecasts was correct.

Thursday, October 25, 2012

Hurricane Sandy

New Bern, NC

Hurricane Sandy is headed our way.  It's track is very uncertain, but it seems most likely that it will pass far enough east of New Bern that we will see no severe weather.   Even if it comes close, winds will be from the North and these docks are well sheltered behind nearby 4 story buildings that block North winds.

The good news isn't for everyone.   Look below at the forecast for Abacos, Bahamas.  Our hearts go out to those poor people there.  They'll get 72 hours of misery.


*Marine Forecast For Abacos ~ Updated ~ Thursday, October 25, 2012 5:00:59 AM
Thursday
tstormsOvercast with thunderstorms, then rain in the afternoon. High of 79F. Winds from the ENE at 35 to 50 mph. Chance of rain 90% with rainfall amounts near 0.4 in. possible.
Thursday Night
nt_rainOvercast with rain. Fog overnight. Low of 72F. Winds from the NNE at 60 to 70 mph. Chance of rain 100% with rainfall amounts near 2.5 in. possible.
Friday
rainOvercast with a chance of rain. High of 88F. Winds from the NW at 45 to 55 mph. Chance of rain 50%.
Friday Night
nt_rainOvercast with rain, then a chance of rain after midnight. Low of 75F. Winds from the West at 65 to 70 mph. Chance of rain 60% with rainfall amounts near 0.3 in. possible.
Saturday
chancerainOvercast with a chance of rain. High of 82F. Winds from the WNW at 50 to 65 mph. Chance of rain 60%.
Saturday Night
nt_chancerainPartly cloudy with a chance of rain. Low of 73F. Winds from the WNW at 35 to 45 mph. Chance of rain 30%.
Sunday
partlycloudyPartly cloudy in the morning, then clear. High of 81F. Windy. Winds from the NW at 30 to 35 mph.